Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x320045be25e331375755d9126cbe20a319ace7c7d9258227e3ccdc9267d786a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,273,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,436,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,273,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,938 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 4c | 628,623$22,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,365.71 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 1c | 374,931$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 20c | 250,054$49,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,627.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…5c3abacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 7c | 181,531$13,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,411.3 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 1c | 156,871$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.78 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 7c | 134,170$9,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,007.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1b67backed Yes | 0c | 117,830$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 80c | 69,865$55,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,101.79 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…7ed7backed No | 75c | 66,000$49,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,566 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…292cbacked No | 75c | 66,000$49,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,566 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…a2c7backed Yes | 25c | 66,000$16,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,566 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…4ba2backed No | 79c | 63,000$49,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,041 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…cbe1backed Yes | 21c | 63,000$13,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,041 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…c57cbacked Yes | 20c | 62,500$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…20a3backed No | 80c | 62,475$49,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,495 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…a5d1backed Yes | 19c | 61,500$11,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,562 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…5e92backed Yes | 19c | 61,500$11,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 1c | 60,158$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…a25ebacked Yes | 17c | 60,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 15c | 58,262$8,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,876.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…ad2bbacked Yes | 14c | 58,000$8,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…0104backed Yes | 15c | 58,000$8,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,758 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 10c | 56,578$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.72 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 4c | 46,790$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.68 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 23c | 46,236$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500.16 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 15c | 38,343$5,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.27 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 16c | 36,520$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.29 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…1252backed Yes | 0c | 35,700$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 20c | 35,693$7,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,131.66 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 3c | 35,383$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.72 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 33,293$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 31,881$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.57 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 9c | 31,783$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.6 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 3c | 31,782$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 14c | 31,366$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 9c | 29,297$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.41 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 11c | 26,706$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 22c | 25,730$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.6 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…2233backed Yes | 39c | 25,670$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 21c | 25,395$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,286.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 18c | 23,951$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.85 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed Yes | 3c | 20,428$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 19c | 18,547$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 13c | 18,480$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 61c | 16,978$10,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,570.32 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 2c | 16,000$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 15,300$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.32 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309e…6ff9backed Yes | 3c | 14,739$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 9c | 14,671$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.94 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 19c | 14,413$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.37 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…1915backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 13c | 14,140$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.28 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 14c | 11,114$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 18c | 10,730$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.77 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 22c | 10,347$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Yes | 36c | 10,147$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 9,516$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.27 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa91e…152abacked Yes | 0c | 9,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 7c | 8,771$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.93 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 8,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…4d2bbacked Yes | 3c | 7,586$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked Yes | 22c | 7,322$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 4c | 7,305$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 16c | 7,236$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.58 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 2c | 7,198$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked No | 71c | 7,000$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 13c | 6,404$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.82 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…a3f7backed Yes | 15c | 6,278$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 7c | 6,189$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…4a9bbacked Yes | 16c | 6,138$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked No | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,900$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…9326backed Yes | 3c | 5,570$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 5,449$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…22c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,401$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…12dcbacked Yes | 19c | 5,166$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd793…120ebacked Yes | 19c | 5,149$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 23c | 5,143$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…61c2backed Yes | 18c | 5,141$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…fc74backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 21c | 4,549$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…2958backed Yes | 14c | 4,424$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Yes | 20c | 4,215$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 16c | 4,113$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 5c | 4,039$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…28b5backed Yes | 17c | 4,000$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 20c | 3,907$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…dbeabacked Yes | 3c | 3,727$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…778bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,710$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…cb96backed Yes | 28c | 3,512$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…c949backed Yes | 15c | 3,397$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal wins the Premier League?this page
- Aston Villa wins the Premier League?No won
- Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No won
- Brentford wins the Premier League?No won
- Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?No won
- Chelsea wins the Premier League?No won
- Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?No won
- Everton wins the Premier League?No won
- Fulham wins the Premier League?No won
- Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?No won
- Leicester City wins the Premier League?No won
- Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes won
- Manchester City wins the Premier League?No won
- Manchester United wins the Premier League?No won
- Newcastle United wins the Premier League?No won
- Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?No won
- Southampton wins the Premier League?No won
- Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?No won
- West Ham United wins the Premier League?No won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.