TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89bc…22c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.64
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$29.15
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.76
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$14.84
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
Cubs vs. Angelsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$14.28
Padres vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.43
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$3.78
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.83
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$203.29
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$253.6
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.32
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.38
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$107.59
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$201.24
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$120.02
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$216.45
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112.28
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$66.8
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$810.6
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.05
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.46
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$30.85
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$78.69
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$64.31
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$49.5
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$33.39
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.7
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.6
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.18
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$63.72
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$37.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$27.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+81.9%+$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+61.3%+$8.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+51.5%+$10.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.