TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 755 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers40c78,188$31,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,594.0616645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kings57c69,269$39,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,638.8736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings60c23,403$14,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,384.1931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Oilers47c9,373$4,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,363.2330549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers46c9,322$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.7749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers1c6,458$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.581,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Kings60c6,284$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers45c5,328$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.811,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Oilers38c4,169$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings52c4,086$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.2886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers38c4,000$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.7485148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Oilers28c3,601$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0046946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Oilers51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.9724546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers42c2,828$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.6437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Oilers43c2,724$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.3351044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings67c2,385$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.651,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92013348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Oilers8c1,718$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.342748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Kings49c1,587$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.3810745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc624…106abacked Kings51c1,543$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.072339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings51c1,529$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7491,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Oilers1c1,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5b…0e96backed Oilers49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked Oilers39c1,496$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.37540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Oilers28c1,423$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.513243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aee…6760backed Oilers50c1,243$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-85.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Oilers50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings62c1,155$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7613845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Oilers51c1,033$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.258139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Kings64c1,003$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.186956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Kings62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1340…a94ebacked Oilers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kings61c997.63$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0811145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Oilers3c927.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.655754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Kings53c906$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.827352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Kings73c890$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Kings64c792.02$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.738959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked Oilers40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Oilers44c749.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9911751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Oilers3c719.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Kings61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27326547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Oilers50c635.35$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.6829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b21…6199backed Oilers22c631.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Oilers11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Oilers42c580.95$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24415246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Kings62c564.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5221750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be2…ac88backed Oilers17c500.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8640%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24079251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers41c494$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers41c492.84$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0654349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Kings58c445.22$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x745c…40d9backed Kings50c414$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f5…84bcbacked Oilers52c407.69$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa39d…2606backed Kings50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a4…8f85backed Oilers52c392.31$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44d…1fdbbacked Oilers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x652a…fd23backed Kings50c386$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7bf…e7dabacked Kings51c382.35$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…b79bbacked Oilers50c380$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Oilers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d2…0dacbacked Oilers51c372.55$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…6e04backed Kings51c372.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4872…e3e2backed Oilers14c346.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Oilers41c314.34$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.886850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Oilers38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Oilers7c299.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Oilers38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Kings50c261.34$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Oilers40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc2…32eebacked Oilers38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Oilers38c244.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.884042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58a2…107ebacked Kings50c242.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf0…b05cbacked Oilers51c240.61$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2f…28f3backed Kings50c240.6$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Oilers46c240$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Kings62c240$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.24650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…2f05backed Kings50c237.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers42c236.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe998…326cbacked Kings50c230.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bf…8cdabacked Oilers51c230.69$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x453d…e416backed Kings51c227.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc89…2bbdbacked Oilers50c227.72$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…cdc9backed Oilers51c221.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x346a…fe3cbacked Kings51c221.78$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2c…d036backed Kings50c221.78$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c0…f059backed Oilers50c221.78$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Kings57c209.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.134841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Oilers12c203.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4518237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Oilers43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac41…21b2backed Kings57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…61febacked Kings57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67c…f843backed Kings57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x929d…1176backed Oilers43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1bc…53f2backed Kings57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…fdb3backed Kings57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.