NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x979d0e57c7946828ae2c38f14afa11f38fce7625ec2f83db01677bdbd805bea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Oilers, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Islanders | 39c | 64,190$25,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,156.07 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 61c | 35,558$21,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,690.49 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Oilers | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.94 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Oilers | 60c | 10,141$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.95 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 60c | 9,860$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers | 57c | 9,850$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,641.73 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 39c | 8,995$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,486.95 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 39c | 8,595$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.05 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Oilers | 61c | 8,324$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,077.64 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Islanders | 38c | 8,072$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.83 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 42c | 7,973$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,597.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 39c | 7,774$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.04 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Oilers | 61c | 6,500$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Islanders | 40c | 6,388$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.84 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ce43backed Oilers | 61c | 5,900$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Islanders | 40c | 5,678$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.17 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…9c47backed Oilers | 50c | 5,120$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…2a84backed Islanders | 50c | 5,120$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Oilers | 59c | 4,650$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.23 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Oilers | 59c | 4,569$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.71 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Oilers | 61c | 4,395$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.37 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Oilers | 59c | 4,312$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.32 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Oilers | 57c | 3,448$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.78 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 42c | 3,374$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.12 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers | 59c | 3,183$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.81 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Oilers | 61c | 3,012$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Islanders | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 43c | 2,931$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.05 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…d490backed Islanders | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…bc0fbacked Oilers | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Islanders | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 49c | 1,960$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.25 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Oilers | 60c | 1,932$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Oilers | 55c | 1,859$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.82 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Islanders | 46c | 1,674$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.11 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Islanders | 30c | 1,639$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.9 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers | 59c | 1,631$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.28 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…202bbacked Oilers | 62c | 1,606$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…0272backed Islanders | 39c | 1,606$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…0534backed Islanders | 39c | 1,606$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…422ebacked Oilers | 62c | 1,606$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 60c | 1,500$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Islanders | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Islanders | 40c | 1,353$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Islanders | 40c | 1,192$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.04 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Islanders | 39c | 1,188$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.68 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Islanders | 44c | 1,179$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.44 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 60c | 1,172$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.32 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Oilers | 59c | 1,045$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.67 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Oilers | 32c | 1,041$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.3 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Oilers | 57c | 752.88$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Oilers | 59c | 736.85$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.74 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Islanders | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 68c | 730$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Oilers | 62c | 685.48$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Oilers | 62c | 669.76$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.12 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oilers | 69c | 652.5$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.1 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Islanders | 37c | 651.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.68 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Islanders | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Oilers | 59c | 597.75$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 53c | 578$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Oilers | 62c | 537$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.94 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Oilers | 60c | 511.04$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Oilers | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Islanders | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…6cf5backed Oilers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9525…e50abacked Oilers | 61c | 491.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…f442backed Islanders | 39c | 483$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oilers | 44c | 468.11$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Oilers | 72c | 461.29$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Oilers | 60c | 450$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Oilers | 60c | 409.85$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.91 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oilers | 8c | 399$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Oilers | 59c | 385.62$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oilers | 60c | 357.7$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 32c | 355$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Oilers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Oilers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Oilers | 75c | 310$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Oilers | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Islanders | 42c | 295$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Islanders | 44c | 291.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Oilers | 56c | 287.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Islanders | 46c | 258.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Islanders | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed Oilers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…ee1abacked Oilers | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Oilers | 61c | 246.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Islanders | 40c | 236.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…6125backed Islanders | 40c | 233.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 49c | 230.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Islanders | 41c | 221.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Oilers | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd8…62f5backed Oilers | 61c | 206.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Islandersthis page
- Oilers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.