TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fb9…ce7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,399.98
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24,163Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+48.8%+$11,797.2
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,520
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+30%+$750
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.9%+$72.5
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,517Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$839
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+62%+$765.08
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+41.5%+$88
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+29.6%+$137
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$30.5
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$185
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$120
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$305
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$93
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$190
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked PHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$258
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$469.9
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$96.47
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.99
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$191.71
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$326.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14,587Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25.2%+$3,672.94
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$11,980.15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+82.6%+$1,900
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$272
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$170
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$450
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69%+$408.39
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,256Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$1,344
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.03
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,897Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2,103.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,694Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$906
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,787Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$713.13
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42%+$2,163.05
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26,273Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$9,351.34
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,543Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$675.07
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$496
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2,520
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19,601Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$11,529.3
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$465
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,810Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$2,740.18
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,766.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$36.64
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$207
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$305
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Blackhawks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.42
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$855.58
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12,980Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$5,426.15
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$925
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,659Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+46%+$2,142.36
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$16.8
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$19.05
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,102
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,906
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$1,215.39
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$1,648.01
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,665Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$3,050.47
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,900.3
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12,775Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6,016.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,530.48
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,700.08
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$255
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Titans vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,292.31
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,980
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,692.74
All 7 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.3
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$654.54
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,726.42
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40,242.46
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,793Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$4,982.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,307.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.