MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f78a123ca1a448742ae583d23c2373448a9987fae222475825d1e15724d5780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,044,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,247,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,044,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Dodgers | 49c | 351,685$171,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,245.91 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 54c | 209,985$113,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,161.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 39c | 207,422$81,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,109.75 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 31c | 203,739$62,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,465.23 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dodgers | 17c | 131,531$21,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,681.96 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Dodgers | 49c | 102,933$50,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,913.33 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Phillies | 52c | 96,154$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Dodgers | 65c | 94,301$61,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,237.35 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Phillies | 51c | 81,534$41,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,582.41 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Phillies | 72c | 59,223$42,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,916.9 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Phillies | 51c | 55,724$28,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,419.07 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 53c | 54,574$28,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,661.36 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 28c | 48,796$13,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,375.42 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 52c | 42,567$22,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,105.63 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 76c | 39,458$29,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,919.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Phillies | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Dodgers | 49c | 35,000$17,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,849.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Dodgers | 48c | 32,435$15,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,866.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 57c | 23,744$13,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,562.81 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phillies | 67c | 22,560$15,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,226.28 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Phillies | 53c | 21,321$11,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,300 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 52c | 20,729$10,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,779.01 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 52c | 20,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,349.97 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 48c | 18,361$8,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,466.63 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies | 52c | 16,175$8,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,411 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 21c | 15,904$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,551.39 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 39c | 12,152$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,445.9 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers | 47c | 11,289$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.08 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Phillies | 52c | 10,550$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.93 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Dodgers | 48c | 10,515$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers | 56c | 10,356$5,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 73c | 8,782$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.18 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Phillies | 79c | 7,875$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.61 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 69c | 6,576$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 54c | 6,420$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.8 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Dodgers | 57c | 6,223$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.52 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…58d0backed Phillies | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Dodgers | 78c | 5,500$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…666bbacked Dodgers | 47c | 5,450$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e1…8b89backed Dodgers | 47c | 5,200$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…6e13backed Phillies | 54c | 5,100$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e05…bdb6backed Phillies | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 77c | 4,957$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Dodgers | 48c | 4,830$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 51c | 4,183$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 66c | 4,109$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.32 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Phillies | 76c | 3,907$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Dodgers | 21c | 3,651$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Dodgers | 49c | 3,397$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Dodgers | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Phillies | 53c | 3,075$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Phillies | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dodgers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Phillies | 52c | 2,804$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.83 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Phillies | 52c | 2,754$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.35 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 25c | 2,624$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked Phillies | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Phillies | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d02…3d5cbacked Phillies | 53c | 2,304$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Phillies | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Phillies | 64c | 2,274$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.26 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571b…34cfbacked Phillies | 9c | 2,204$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Phillies | 53c | 2,140$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.07 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Phillies | 79c | 2,134$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.1 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Phillies | 53c | 2,130$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.89 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Dodgers | 48c | 2,051$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.24 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Dodgers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Phillies | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Dodgers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked Dodgers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Dodgers | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked Dodgers | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 53c | 1,776$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.65 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 52c | 1,583$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.31 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Phillies | 52c | 1,535$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 1c | 1,520$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed Phillies | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dodgers | 48c | 1,476$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.52 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…4cc3backed Phillies | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Dodgers | 80c | 1,123$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.67 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Dodgers | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,065$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.8 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Dodgers | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.11 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Dodgers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Dodgers | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Phillies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Phillies | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Phillies | 57c | 978.48$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…8384backed Dodgers | 47c | 968.09$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Phillies | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3017…d490backed Phillies | 53c | 960$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Phillies | 27c | 909.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 29c | 864.14$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7568…ff25backed Dodgers | 48c | 860$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…c4a3backed Phillies | 53c | 840$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Philliesthis page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.