TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Aces vs. Fever

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Feverof Aces, Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Aces55c73,822$40,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,242.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Fever38c29,796$11,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,486.5211754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fever52c9,410$4,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.521,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fever51c8,144$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,010.654438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Fever50c8,118$4,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,028.172646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fever42c6,851$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.4323931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Fever74c5,334$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.24933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Aces41c4,335$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.05825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Fever41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7706154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Aces59c2,979$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.581936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces58c2,758$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.997162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Aces62c2,651$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.437753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Aces20c2,439$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1515246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b9…93f9backed Aces60c1,953$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x550d…2b82backed Fever42c1,953$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Fever52c1,861$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+95.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Aces60c1,850$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.2111545.2%52 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Aces65c1,541$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Aces58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8702055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever38c1,267$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7312463.7%79 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Aces36c1,256$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.953938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aces57c1,247$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.0614450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Fever39c1,084$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Fever38c1,001$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.526631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Fever52c962.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.985633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c0…93fdbacked Fever52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fever48c811.83$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.112951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Aces51c780.65$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Fever52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3366651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fever38c691$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.427851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb790…8389backed Aces62c675.06$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Aces61c659.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.889055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Fever38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces34c647.93$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1331847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Aces42c625.76$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-49.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Aces54c601.58$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aces39c524.53$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.743528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Aces57c517.54$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Aces39c484.24$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Aces49c453.07$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.919642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Aces63c402.29$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.44825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa9…511abacked Fever69c360$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Fever60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Aces59c300$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17650%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Aces38c268.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Fever67c267$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1113044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Fever38c264$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.684252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4127232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Aces59c229.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.434050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fever52c218$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.647542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2dd…61dcbacked Aces39c208.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.341040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Aces60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11960%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Aces63c174.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.74358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Aces62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Fever52c159.69$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.884250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Aces63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Fever50c154.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.743961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Aces57c154.64$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.151225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Aces61c147.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Fever38c141$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.425042%21 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Fever38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.67240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Aces43c126.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.192740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3575…8af2backed Fever41c120.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.835100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+128.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Aces61c118.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.432737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Fever55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4612548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Fever43c102.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Fever48c101.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.827929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Fever38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6212833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Aces49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf4…277abacked Aces63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Fever38c93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.668953.9%48 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Aces54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e2bbacked Fever38c90$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3491…9f33backed Aces60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Aces61c82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0211552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Aces36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Aces60c67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Aces62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5c…11e2backed Aces63c63.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6033…b1b7backed Fever38c62.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Fever35c57.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6914136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x332d…09a6backed Fever38c56.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd733…96cdbacked Aces63c56.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c15…5542backed Fever55c51.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Fever70c48.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6123234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595e…6c34backed Aces65c47.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Aces64c44.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.36580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Fever40c44.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.545048%24 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e90…b93bbacked Aces65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fever37c39.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.825844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…9e97backed Aces60c38.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd320…5840backed Aces54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Aces60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ca…2077backed Aces66c31.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce1…9ec6backed Fever39c30.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7777…f2bbbacked Aces65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x825f…0997backed Fever68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Fever53c28.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.253754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae7…c30abacked Aces63c26.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a13…b70dbacked Aces59c25.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.