TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e90…b93b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT3177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.91
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
Rockies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Cubs (-1.5)backed Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Reds vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: White Sox (-1.5)backed Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.64
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$35.94
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$76.86
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Packers (-13.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Chargers (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Bills (-13.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Vikings vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$126
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$53
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Will Atletico Madrid beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+525%+$52.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.63
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$20.37
Fever vs. Dreambacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+294.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+294.7%+$3,842.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$203.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.