Champions League · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid beat Paris Saint-Germain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aabace230b6da695d692d2f8fbe1a76f6cfd89bfddd7bc3e07bcecd6df42111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 17c | 3,122$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.34 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 18c | 3,102$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…7919backed Yes | 16c | 1,050$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…9574backed Yes | 17c | 1,041$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…7b38backed Yes | 16c | 1,005$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +509.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 18c | 849.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.12 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…371cbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…a98bbacked Yes | 16c | 548.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 79c | 530.35$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.06 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 31c | 455.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 17c | 446.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.88 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 17c | 434.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +211.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…495cbacked Yes | 17c | 428.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…e49cbacked Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…651fbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…0627backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…c666backed Yes | 16c | 306.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…9347backed Yes | 17c | 304.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…02aebacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 77c | 170.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…08a5backed Yes | 15c | 135$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…3d6ebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…8d88backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…285dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…62e7backed Yes | 19c | 107.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…8092backed Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 18c | 102.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…70d8backed Yes | 23c | 100.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3a…c82dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…4c72backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…a645backed Yes | 16c | 85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…3c8cbacked Yes | 17c | 83.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…a252backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…10d5backed Yes | 17c | 63.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +498.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…f13bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…4d63backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid beat Paris Saint-Germain?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?No won
- Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.