Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8999bdbeef583fdb4685dbc61b8397bec84cf9623e63b0fbddb0a0938833e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee9c…ab0bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,201$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 63c | 2,922$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 21c | 2,130$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.87 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…340abacked No | 63c | 1,279$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…7919backed Yes | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…3f8bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 79c | 499.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 479.24$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…a10abacked Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 76c | 399.96$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…0627backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 23c | 172.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…b3efbacked Yes | 24c | 159.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…086bbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 70c | 83.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…3cdbbacked Yes | 24c | 80.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…dff2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 52c | 30.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid beat Paris Saint-Germain?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.