Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf115e23d517125c1a2c4d3361831de708a63dfd8c01aa761aa397b814842f48c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 38c | 13,292$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,305.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 63c | 11,122$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967.08 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 64c | 4,500$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 39c | 2,345$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.45 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 59c | 1,613$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 36c | 1,601$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.57 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.48per pick | 41cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 67c | 879.52$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 36c | 780.56$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.56 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 56c | 561.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…8444backed Yes | 60c | 434.32$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed No | 42c | 384.48$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…9808backed Yes | 62c | 338.66$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 34c | 263.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 61c | 247.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 52c | 236.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 60c | 182.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…5ab3backed Yes | 59c | 170.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b949backed No | 44c | 160.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…aa23backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 62c | 136$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Yes | 61c | 129.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…c3e1backed No | 39c | 124.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 24c | 122.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cd…244bbacked Yes | 61c | 100.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 50c | 100.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ca…318ebacked Yes | 62c | 99.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9402…c3b1backed Yes | 62c | 99.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…f614backed No | 39c | 98.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc50…31cfbacked No | 39c | 98.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 67c | 97.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 55c | 97.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…3046backed No | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…db90backed Yes | 62c | 86.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…5aedbacked No | 36c | 77.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…d5f1backed Yes | 65c | 77.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…0eeabacked No | 51c | 68.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed No | 36c | 61.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…d37cbacked No | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 40c | 56.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed No | 39c | 52.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +548.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed No | 39c | 50.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e13cbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…6159backed Yes | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +1,516.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…05afbacked Yes | 62c | 34.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…36ddbacked Yes | 63c | 31.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc586…35d7backed No | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc5…1731backed Yes | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…2037backed Yes | 62c | 25.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 53c | 22.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…d1a7backed Yes | 62c | 21.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid beat Paris Saint-Germain?Yes won
- Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.