TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01a9…f42f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$38.64
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.21
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.04
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.21
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+108%+$431.73
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$99.99
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$67.98
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$139.54
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$96.69
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$49.55
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+29.9%+$29.9
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+177.8%+$45.6
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+39.8%+$85.72
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Spurs vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+47.7%+$274.96
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$368.43
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.54
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.74
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.03
Will Manchester City beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Sporting CP beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Benfica beat AS Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+214.1%+$24.4
Will Stuttgart beat Red Star Belgrade?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$85.55
Will Bayern Munich beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Atalanta beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST80%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10.5
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$11.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.18
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+231.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+231.7%+$23.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+44.9%+$63.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.