Champions League · resolved market
Will Stuttgart beat Red Star Belgrade?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda10b34c6bb16850b256f2593afae5a1aa4a55888bb101f323b9a35111c28712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 18c | 23,640$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.29 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Yes | 54c | 3,863$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 47c | 2,712$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 47c | 2,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.98 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 56c | 2,365$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.88 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 53c | 2,345$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.85 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 48c | 1,790$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.75 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 53c | 1,771$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.58 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 48c | 1,247$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 47c | 1,182$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 61c | 1,155$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.91 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 58c | 1,112$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 48c | 1,037$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.46 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…4761backed Yes | 46c | 956.52$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Yes | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed No | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 74c | 803.07$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 52c | 791.85$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.76 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 53c | 765.38$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.48 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 613.34$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.74 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 3c | 343.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 52c | 341.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 9c | 331.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 312$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 16c | 260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 44c | 257.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 48c | 225.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.48per pick | 41cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed No | 47c | 221.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 52c | 191.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 28c | 181.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 51c | 167.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e030backed Yes | 73c | 128.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 53c | 106.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…8b5cbacked Yes | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 46c | 103.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…9f2abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b83…905ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…328bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143a…782abacked Yes | 34c | 88.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…f26cbacked Yes | 20c | 62.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +164%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…64eabacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a52…3390backed No | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…1c04backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…f685backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…dc15backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 56c | 35.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…9500backed Yes | 54c | 34.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed No | 47c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 46c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…b0c1backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stuttgart beat Red Star Belgrade?this page
- Will Red Star Belgrade beat Stuttgart?Yes won
- Will the match between Red Star Belgrade and Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.