TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked No10c6,748$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.0879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No18c5,771$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.5137841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Yes36c5,738$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.571450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No64c3,758$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.9540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No67c2,402$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.1222050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No25c2,345$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8729643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes78c1,664$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.079949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No64c1,500$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9655959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.896230.6%19 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed No66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.993447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked No66c982.1$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.195653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked No67c815.82$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.61330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes60c811.87$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.725141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea3…dd58backed Yes33c466.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80f…a203backed No68c466.51$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes45c444$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Yes57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes80c392.04$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No63c381.65$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6757…998dbacked Yes37c378.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.384240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes56c368.53$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5511657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes34c354.12$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.121947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes49c317.72$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes34c292.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0518740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No64c280$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.39943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes36c277.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.333237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes34c235$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.120447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No66c221.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.517143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed Yes34c220.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Yes58c215.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Yes57c199.64$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed No65c155.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.364537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes32c143.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.515337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed No64c139.31$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.161154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.895726.3%15 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.146544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc5…7f41backed No66c114$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b94…2624backed Yes34c114$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+101.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c3e…ae20backed No68c113$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9055…0698backed Yes32c113$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+116.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9665…3139backed Yes56c106.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c105.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6366031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Yes55c105$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc6…c3e4backed Yes54c104.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1fe…2835backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6614450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked No44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…b250backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2f…09a9backed Yes34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.244946.9%23 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes59c85.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.025151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No59c84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.227968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa991…dc2abacked No20c79.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.762737%10 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x259a…991dbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.532642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x602c…7da0backed No68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506159%36 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes36c71.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.62437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x530e…a4b2backed Yes35c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.54226.2%11 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ac…d304backed No68c62.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes35c62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.315554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ea…3235backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee1…5778backed Yes33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.24100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb498…335bbacked No68c57.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc00a…1a53backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2f…b3a9backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71bb…84b8backed Yes34c55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.516060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4512623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6255…40b6backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.124831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76a2…0bd2backed Yes33c43.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…ba57backed No68c43.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes37c43.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.242751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92b3…5e9fbacked No65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick70cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e65…ab28backed Yes56c33.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…eec7backed Yes33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+90.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6d…0f7fbacked Yes34c32.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Yes35c31.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.434744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daf…80d9backed Yes34c30.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Yes55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377e…d43ebacked Yes48c25.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1520…2ffdbacked Yes59c21.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.76955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.