Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7f292d7de99cf94850ade6d0637ff1ec3e03d33cd9da166c16a33d2e4f762d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,976$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.28 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 11c | 2,889$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.13 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,777$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 72c | 585.4$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.91 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 72c | 221.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 26c | 187.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…e96bbacked Yes | 30c | 186.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed No | 74c | 175.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 73c | 127.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 72c | 117.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 115.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 70c | 104.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 25c | 49.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…f26cbacked Yes | 29c | 35.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…aa43backed No | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-23?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2024-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.