TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…d4f3backed Yes40c2,502$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9914659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Yes39c1,896$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.31050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed No60c1,761$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No64c1,567$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.198633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes11c1,314$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes36c1,274$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No61c1,212$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.0232758.4%191 W · 136 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e3…2b53backed No60c839.85$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…f6d4backed No60c707.08$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Yes37c694$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.789943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Yes38c604.19$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.635653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes40c484.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.642828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes37c391.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.753345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No73c391.21$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0111657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes8c379.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4831843.1%137 W · 181 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No63c298$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2670072.3%506 W · 194 L+83.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No59c263.43$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0115337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6757…998dbacked Yes39c261.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.664240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Yes41c234$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No61c231.46$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2715554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes39c210.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8224630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes40c209.21$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6814450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes23c206.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.54959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.818260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes38c151.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.73237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No61c150$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.58362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe6…b872backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e52…47f1backed No60c111$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96da…59dbbacked Yes40c111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…ae30backed No60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc650…6d2bbacked Yes40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e6…f541backed Yes38c108$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…c1a6backed No62c108$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f78…8091backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e3…e463backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b95…870fbacked No62c97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bb…71eabacked Yes38c97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No62c87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.237968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2fa…9444backed Yes40c77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb854…be6cbacked No60c77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd89a…18e7backed No60c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c74…2a8dbacked Yes40c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5472…8589backed No60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38b…834bbacked Yes40c65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb379…996ebacked Yes40c65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc80…5247backed No60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ab…efa2backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf923…6355backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x287c…c119backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab09…8b31backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694f…efd6backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c7…472fbacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1986…bcd5backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f46…8059backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eaf…f50fbacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…76b6backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5bd…b3efbacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…e140backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x828c…1e1abacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfef6…d2cabacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…2360backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed6e…c652backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14a…17edbacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ef…6024backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dc…9373backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3df7…7cd2backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x487f…594cbacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9291…7e83backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b08…a375backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73cc…a434backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa856…d35ebacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4db…285ebacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe816…35f2backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfb…6853backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf4a…ea44backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f2b…01ddbacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9522…b0c4backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e7…f9d1backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x152d…485ebacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd45d…62f2backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a29…99bcbacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x855e…419cbacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…2f14backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd508…36e9backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa473…7c5fbacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae13…30ccbacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0175…d733backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdba5…b17ebacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4334…ee8dbacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9713…979ebacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd190…3cc2backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13e…36c2backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.