Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Frankfurt beat Slavia Praha?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2625511fbb00c0f95efe176552960e60cb36211dc205dec952d38b072c2dc323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 42c | 7,030$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.25 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 53c | 5,202$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 53c | 2,738$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.78 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 50c | 2,373$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.82 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Yes | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 55c | 1,690$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…4b45backed Yes | 46c | 1,387$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 49c | 1,327$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.63 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fa…2431backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 56c | 995$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 53c | 944$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 46c | 534.89$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 48c | 534.62$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked No | 44c | 428.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 50c | 421.45$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 57c | 411.94$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 80c | 353.32$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…4e4dbacked Yes | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 45c | 237.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 42c | 213.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed No | 54c | 209.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 53c | 191.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…6fe5backed Yes | 58c | 172.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459d…6c7bbacked Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 49c | 121.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…e109backed Yes | 49c | 117.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e07…480abacked Yes | 57c | 113.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…4effbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…9347backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…3594backed Yes | 54c | 90.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…d6a6backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1858…41d4backed Yes | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 47c | 55.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 56c | 50.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e13cbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…5374backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54de…6dabbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…7bc9backed Yes | 50c | 42.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…592abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…f738backed Yes | 53c | 39.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…200ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…0ce3backed Yes | 55c | 35.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…87e4backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c2dabacked Yes | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…e6ebbacked Yes | 50c | 33.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 45c | 33.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…6987backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…793fbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc7…f298backed Yes | 55c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…e800backed Yes | 46c | 24.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a2…5e22backed Yes | 58c | 24.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…c452backed Yes | 55c | 18.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Frankfurt beat Slavia Praha?this page
- Will Slavia Praha beat Frankfurt?No won
- Will the match between Frankfurt and Slavia Praha end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.