TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bb4…64a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+57.5%+$11.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$12.53
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$11.71
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$13.94
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.92
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$6.98
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$10.1
Will Liverpool vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+74.9%+$18.72
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+189%+$24.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+177.8%+$21.33
Will Bayern Munich beat Feyenoord?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Arsenal beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$9.91
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$11.75
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$6.23
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$7.66
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$8.27
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.25
UEFA Europa Conference League Final: Real Betis vs. Chelseabacked Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$7.19
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+100.1%+$20.03
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+92%+$11.96
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$9.54
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+192.3%+$26.92
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+90.4%+$11.75
Will AS Roma beat AZ Alkmaar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Frankfurt beat Lyon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham beat Rangers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Roma beat Braga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Will Frankfurt beat FC Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+79.5%+$15.89
Will Frankfurt beat Slavia Praha?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+78.6%+$8.64
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$16.82
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$16.73
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Italy beat Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Germany beat Italybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Spain beat Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will France beat Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain beat Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+42.9%+$4.71
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$16.04
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$13.53
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.33
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+142%+$19.88
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+52.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+204.5%+$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.