Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Roma beat Braga?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee554e3d84da5f38fff787a7ea1ce263916b5aa350925579304ddbc0db3a103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 22c | 1,906$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.66 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 42c | 1,329$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.35 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 69c | 848.57$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed No | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Yes | 56c | 799.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 58c | 644.3$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 42c | 524.76$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 40c | 520.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2769…62b8backed Yes | 61c | 434.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…d106backed Yes | 60c | 400.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 69c | 312.86$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…bc4ebacked Yes | 59c | 171$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 59c | 170.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 57c | 164.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…75a6backed No | 44c | 123.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…2929backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…5220backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 43c | 92.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 88.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…f035backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed Yes | 59c | 84.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 60c | 78.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Yes | 80c | 66.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 63c | 63.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…5e29backed No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…63fabacked Yes | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Yes | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…953abacked Yes | 59c | 31.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…c3febacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 40c | 28.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…5346backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…87c5backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee18…4249backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…3bd3backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…b502backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma beat Braga?this page
- Will Braga beat AS Roma?No won
- Will the match between AS Roma and Braga end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.