TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0c9…f035

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2024, EST2669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37%+$18.49
Rams vs. Saintsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+66.7%+$20
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Lions vs. Coltsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$68
Jaguars vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+31.6%+$25.97
Raiders vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+29.9%+$23.9
Saints vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$10.62
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Packers vs. Jaguarsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Cardinals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$68.63
Raiders vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$10.33
Panthers vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$9.26
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+37%+$11.47
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$31
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$19
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$19
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$31
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Commanders vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+37%+$15.13
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$72.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$24.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will AS Roma beat Braga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.86
UEFA Nations League: Spain vs. France (To Advance)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$115.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UK civil war in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.