TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae76…dce5backed Falcons60c8,428$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,061.1827339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Seahawks40c5,409$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.4936246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f76…c09abacked Falcons59c4,400$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5961010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-83.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Seahawks41c4,400$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5963351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa28e…ed17backed Seahawks41c4,025$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Falcons3c2,970$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2133328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Falcons58c2,944$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.756350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Seahawks40c2,500$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50532438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd003…2aa1backed Falcons59c2,030$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Falcons60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Seahawks78c1,384$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5114457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Seahawks40c1,300$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.953540%14 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1856…1964backed Seahawks40c1,262$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.843860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4004…fa48backed Falcons59c1,120$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Falcons59c1,028$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.244246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5992…26c4backed Falcons60c1,025$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bb…fcb2backed Seahawks39c1,025$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd86…36b3backed Seahawks40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003920.5%8 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Falcons62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d5…dc52backed Falcons59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Falcons61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1729…e0efbacked Falcons61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Falcons60c738.41$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed Seahawks62c694.92$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+89.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Seahawks40c554.98$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9920736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Falcons60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa3…f82dbacked Seahawks40c493.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.92429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Seahawks59c432.63$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Falcons29c421.19$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6521713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Seahawks38c393.02$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6739242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Seahawks63c351.87$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.871353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Seahawks41c349.96$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4816139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Falcons35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Falcons22c278.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6652828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Falcons59c274.39$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8918645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Seahawks41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.529356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Falcons8c247.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.631032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Falcons59c245.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Seahawks42c231.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.39825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3959…a574backed Falcons29c228.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.914630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Falcons59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Falcons60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Falcons59c198.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.224763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd7…c531backed Seahawks80c189.14$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.832560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd31…761abacked Falcons61c181.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef4…6c83backed Seahawks40c180$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089358.1%54 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e26…45c7backed Seahawks42c175.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Falcons59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011673.3%85 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Falcons60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Falcons61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed3…6334backed Seahawks60c162.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.661942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Seahawks42c154.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7620758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ee…7870backed Seahawks44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda14…a40cbacked Seahawks40c149.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.481540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e6…8ed6backed Seahawks40c145$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x535b…8501backed Seahawks42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.86837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Seahawks43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5316451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Falcons60c132.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805671.4%40 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Falcons59c131.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.835766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…4eb9backed Seahawks41c130.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.282147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0355…4c8cbacked Falcons38c130.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x279b…caeabacked Falcons59c124.8$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…f6dcbacked Falcons60c108.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Seahawks40c107.09$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5210052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Falcons59c106.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Seahawks43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5714750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Seahawks40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6013348.1%64 W · 69 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc2a…1158backed Seahawks42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…b2aabacked Falcons38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Seahawks40c99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.426331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Falcons29c96.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8423351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ab…8b3cbacked Falcons60c93.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Falcons59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Falcons59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508250%41 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…b41dbacked Falcons60c83.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Falcons60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019261.5%118 W · 74 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Falcons60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028659.4%170 W · 116 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6be…1758backed Seahawks42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Seahawks42c82.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2728433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Falcons61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503161.3%19 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Falcons62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Falcons56c70.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6124738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Falcons56c65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.738459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b21…b755backed Seahawks77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6291…df2fbacked Seahawks40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Seahawks67c61.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.276245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc60…3e66backed Seahawks41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Seahawks42c60.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9534349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb60a…0eebbacked Falcons58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e9…812dbacked Seahawks41c59.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbea6…aed7backed Seahawks44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.829346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e70…f876backed Seahawks76c54.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.18650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde91…906fbacked Seahawks40c53.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Falcons59c52.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1519564.6%126 W · 69 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0c9…f035backed Falcons59c52.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…ded5backed Seahawks40c52.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51dc…8bc3backed Falcons60c51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Seahawks41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.528436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…efb8backed Falcons60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ac…71ddbacked Seahawks40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.