TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47dc…eec9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST5671.4%40 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$561.98
Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$94.07
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+104.3%+$209.68
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$35.7
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$118.78
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+30.3%+$30.26
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$84.66
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+72.4%+$56.21
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$19.99
Buccaneers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Raiders vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+30.8%+$30.8
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+37%+$18.49
Saints vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.89
Packers vs. Jaguarsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+27.5%+$27.47
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+45%+$134.95
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST5166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+37.7%+$87.88
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+37%+$73.95
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+82.9%+$53.85
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+44.3%+$66.75
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+53.9%+$10.77
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+53.9%+$10.77
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+56.6%+$58.74
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$200
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+50.7%+$25.37
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$40.93
Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+426.8%+$853.69
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.7
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.9
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$30.99
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Manchester City vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$75.98
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Everton win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+159.4%+$182.75
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50.2
Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$59.5
Will Tottenham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$42.49
Will Fulham vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+70.1%+$490.57
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+37%+$73.97
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+40%+$59.96
Will Wolves vs. Man City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.87
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$33.68
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$31.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Will Serbia beat Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will Croatia beat Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will the match between Scotland and Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+103.1%+$206.19
Will Portugal beat Scotland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will France beat Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+40.9%+$55.23
Will Czech Republic beat Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany beat Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+74%+$44.42
Will England beat Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+26.8%+$13.41
Will Slovenia beat Kazakhstan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Portugal beat Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Netherlands beat Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany beat Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Italy beat Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick62cpaid-50.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between Inter Milan and Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Inter Milan beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will the match between Young Boys and Inter Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atalanta beat Celtic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+33.8%+$67.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat PSV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$32
Will PSV beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Monaco beat Red Star Belgradebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Monaco beat Dinamo Zagreb?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Monaco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will the match between RB Leipzig and Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will the match between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$61
Will Girona beat Feyenoord?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between Twente and Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Braga beat Maccabi TLV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Will Maccabi TLV beat Braga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$67.75
Will Lyon beat Olympiacos?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+98%+$39.22
Will FCSB beat FK RFS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
Will Roma beat Athletic Bilbao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Frankfurt beat Viktoria Plzen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ajax beat Besiktas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Fenerbahce beat Union Saint-Gilloise?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will the match between Manchester United and Twente end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$19.96
Will Galatasaray beat PAOK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Manchester United beat Twente?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$70
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$104.65
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.72
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50.7
Avalanche vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$23.5
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+25%+$34.05
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+69.5%+$137.84
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$340.69
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+40.8%+$98.8
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+43.3%+$194.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.46
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Trump impose tariffs on China before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+54.2%+$79.53
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,639Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+52.7%+$1,917.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick67cpaid-56.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Hernandez vs. Pereirabacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+71.2%+$21.35
Johnson vs. Sumudaerjibacked Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Imavov vs. Allenbacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+47.3%+$7.1
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+33.6%+$33.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daegu FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.