Champions League · resolved market
Will Atalanta beat Celtic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa7513e63482797b20d8f826bfa0903c17f038f447db0eadc67b08fbe97803c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 31c | 6,586$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.87 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed Yes | 0c | 6,007$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 70c | 4,382$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.92 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ab…7f03backed Yes | 72c | 2,191$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 30c | 1,389$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.36 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 35c | 389.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 70c | 358.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 73c | 356.28$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 32c | 311.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.1 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 73c | 309.37$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed No | 30c | 300.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 71c | 299$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.29 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 51c | 296.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Yes | 73c | 293.79$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 30c | 286$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 30c | 285.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 39c | 275.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 26c | 270.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 30c | 196.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Yes | 73c | 185.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…98bebacked Yes | 73c | 167.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…1032backed Yes | 72c | 152$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes | 65c | 135.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 70c | 119.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…ef15backed No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 33c | 74.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 70c | 71.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 71c | 68.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…62ffbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked No | 31c | 42.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed Yes | 73c | 41.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…26dabacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06bf…eda2backed Yes | 70c | 35.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Yes | 70c | 32.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…684fbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…745cbacked Yes | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb487…1627backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…ab13backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…9198backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…6c5fbacked Yes | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 70c | 16.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e65…88c4backed Yes | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta beat Celtic?this page
- Will Celtic beat Atalanta?No won
- Will the match between Atalanta and Celtic end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.