Champions League · resolved market
Will Atalanta beat Shakhtar Donetsk?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8cccf266c8871b3f7854970f747c294edd386ce002c09fa481cedf4c5e568c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 60c | 8,699$5,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.15 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 38c | 3,777$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.3 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 13c | 3,776$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 41c | 1,350$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.5 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 40c | 1,284$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 39c | 1,161$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.53 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…67debacked Yes | 63c | 635.83$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 60c | 616.43$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 41c | 444$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 60c | 363.83$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 17c | 309.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7e…6590backed No | 42c | 300.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 67c | 222.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 60c | 222$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 32c | 207.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…5d49backed Yes | 60c | 186.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Yes | 57c | 177.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…e32bbacked No | 43c | 167.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 60c | 167.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc9…c69cbacked No | 39c | 150.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…a81bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 42c | 126.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Yes | 60c | 123$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 62c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…3719backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…2cf2backed Yes | 60c | 105.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc956…7430backed Yes | 58c | 93.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c52…23cabacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…807abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…2404backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…48cfbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…674fbacked Yes | 58c | 32.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 58c | 30.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 58c | 28.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fd…3443backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta beat Shakhtar Donetsk?this page
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Atalanta?No won
- Will the match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Atalanta end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.