Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Southampton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaedb12195d2868f82e405af273b1c868e825fa2e67711d5222cde86656b4cfbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8078…12debacked Yes | 20c | 10,150$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,120.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…a958backed Yes | 20c | 10,056$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,044.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…25cabacked Yes | 20c | 10,051$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,040.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b6…8dccbacked No | 80c | 10,035$8,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,027.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4a…8494backed No | 80c | 10,013$8,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,010.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea13…f4c1backed No | 80c | 10,010$8,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,007.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 52c | 3,633$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.47 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 2,824$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.37 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.99 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 1,293$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.15 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 56c | 1,204$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.65 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 78c | 655$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.9 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 77c | 470.47$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.26 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 54c | 422.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Yes | 68c | 408$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…013cbacked No | 55c | 298.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…8301backed Yes | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 21c | 226.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf89e…e1bbbacked Yes | 45c | 215.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 75c | 205.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…2dcabacked Yes | 30c | 203.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…47fdbacked Yes | 31c | 152.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e98…0a2ebacked Yes | 63c | 126.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…feebbacked Yes | 66c | 77.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…941abacked No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…2719backed Yes | 67c | 49.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…484abacked Yes | 67c | 46.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…9af3backed Yes | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee3…20ddbacked Yes | 75c | 30.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…471ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Southampton end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-22?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2024-12-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.