TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2024-12-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No34c14,106$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,355.4879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes66c4,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.9829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9814659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.997651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes70c2,662$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.7432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No35c2,050$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Yes60c1,792$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.172330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid+379.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No47c1,551$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.7940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes67c1,500$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9609917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No35c1,424$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.343762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No33c1,408$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes60c1,340$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.8411937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes22c1,227$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No35c1,182$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.015453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Yes68c1,003$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.471450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f7…0108backed Yes66c1,000$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes61c980$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.829238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No51c974.14$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.144252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Yes69c933.58$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.171573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e9…9507backed Yes63c900$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5671637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes65c890.15$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.63946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No33c785.22$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.47967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed No33c737.29$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.982142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Yes68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8b…425cbacked Yes69c729.21$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No34c706.06$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.4846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No44c642$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.5234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Yes49c609.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes68c587.05$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No42c534.06$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.793644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes47c500.77$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3628355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3253842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154429.5%13 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf89e…e1bbbacked Yes56c465.96$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes64c395.54$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.511526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No46c376.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…f21cbacked Yes70c357.34$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c346.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes66c302.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Yes69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-40.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes69c283.84$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6018…2dcabacked Yes52c278.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…483cbacked Yes67c253.73$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.54632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes6c234$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1d8…f5debacked No33c211.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d6…47fdbacked Yes58c204.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.523348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb038…41cebacked Yes58c191.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db3…d34abacked Yes55c185.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562d…db7dbacked Yes66c181.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc05b…f1debacked No33c166.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+134.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc95…2caebacked Yes61c159.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes66c149.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5921463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae10…929cbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7444…0d69backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No34c143.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.787968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes18c142.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes70c142$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.420447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…0342backed Yes57c141.13$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66b…0e7cbacked Yes69c126.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.152347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca8…c531backed No33c113.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Yes50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f86…fb7ebacked Yes55c107$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7e8…f0b3backed Yes69c106.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcc…3ca9backed Yes69c105.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes61c103.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Yes69c101.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703040%12 W · 18 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6815636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44e…711bbacked Yes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2499…fed3backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4932822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa35…62aabacked No40c99.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+98.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes70c99.48$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.234949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46df…13ccbacked Yes59c92.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e98…0a2ebacked Yes58c91.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef31…e277backed Yes49c89.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4135…c599backed Yes70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3839…d1e0backed Yes69c84.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes60c83.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaa4c…08fcbacked Yes69c82.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5781…95a2backed Yes69c80.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.31040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Yes65c80$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06be…3b32backed Yes69c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7611342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.