TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ba0…471e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham and Liverpool combine for 4 or more goals?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+53%+$137.33
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+25%+$3.75
Will Leicester vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$147.9
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$122.82
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.04
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+26%+$10.41
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+106.7%+$53.36
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Navarro (W)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.29
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)backed Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.87
HSBC Championships: Alcaraz vs. Leheckabacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$150.29
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+525%+$105
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$271.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palmeiras beat Inter Miami?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$131.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$95.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.