Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836fa5a19c345bcaab166a19308736cfe456513ded192785818c61322bb522a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,245$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.04 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.97 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 60c | 2,387$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.02 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,476$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 60c | 1,422$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.92 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 27c | 1,125$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 60c | 1,103$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.28 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 12c | 998.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…3601backed Yes | 38c | 997.37$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 38c | 859.37$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.56 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…bdf0backed No | 63c | 829.18$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…0e4abacked Yes | 42c | 738.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 11c | 713.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 39c | 697.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.87 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed No | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 42c | 597.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 11c | 582.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 524.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…efeebacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 58c | 494.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 59c | 387.79$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 15c | 380.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 40c | 366.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 59c | 337.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Yes | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed No | 59c | 299.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 64c | 279.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 18c | 279.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…3093backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 41c | 222$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…1b90backed Yes | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…b28abacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05b…f1debacked No | 60c | 171$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…7bf1backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…471ebacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…b45cbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 59c | 109$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 36c | 99.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Yes | 39c | 94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 15c | 89.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 30c | 84.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed No | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…977abacked No | 61c | 70.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…0c2cbacked Yes | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…6084backed No | 59c | 64.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 37c | 63.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…40b8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 41c | 57.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…ad43backed Yes | 39c | 50.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…9681backed Yes | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 41c | 48.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e013backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…ba97backed No | 62c | 46.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 61c | 45.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2db6backed No | 61c | 44.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…68ffbacked Yes | 42c | 40.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…16dabacked No | 58c | 40.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…04a9backed No | 59c | 40.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9baf…5e17backed Yes | 41c | 39.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…d338backed No | 59c | 38.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…d47bbacked Yes | 41c | 38.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee0…5f91backed Yes | 38c | 38.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d1…021fbacked No | 59c | 37.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…5819backed Yes | 37c | 36.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…d430backed No | 62c | 36.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…31efbacked Yes | 38c | 35.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff71…c918backed No | 62c | 35.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c82…0970backed Yes | 39c | 35.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 75c | 35.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…59e3backed No | 59c | 34.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…a4e2backed No | 62c | 34.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9de1backed No | 58c | 34.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…8271backed Yes | 41c | 34.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…b814backed Yes | 41c | 34.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…1483backed No | 59c | 34.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…4a13backed Yes | 41c | 34.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…c73cbacked No | 62c | 33.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…b31ebacked Yes | 38c | 33.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4893…0b28backed Yes | 41c | 32.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…e7a7backed No | 59c | 32.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1209backed No | 59c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbede…55cabacked Yes | 41c | 32.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…c090backed Yes | 38c | 32.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…a1d7backed No | 62c | 32.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e0…3c31backed Yes | 38c | 32.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeee…da14backed Yes | 41c | 31.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…eca2backed No | 59c | 31.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…8e21backed No | 59c | 31.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.