Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663a38f08261f801ab1b47670625eae330157ba81be0ed9a534e32a01ed77f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 9c | 14,198$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.86 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes | 33c | 3,051$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 2,836$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.23 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…9507backed No | 62c | 2,552$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,729$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.53 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 64c | 1,604$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.77 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 1,010$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.9 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7f63backed Yes | 36c | 1,006$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 32c | 943.75$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.75 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 43c | 928.07$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.36 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 65c | 718.34$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.92 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 33c | 654.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.53 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 612.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 37c | 569.16$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.88 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 36c | 506.18$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.18 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Yes | 67c | 499.81$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Yes | 63c | 387.3$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 32c | 315.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 37c | 273.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes | 33c | 271.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed No | 66c | 234$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 177.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes | 67c | 176.41$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 68c | 171.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 35c | 169$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 65c | 169$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 35c | 158.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…db43backed Yes | 48c | 139.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 34c | 131.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 65c | 108$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…7caabacked Yes | 61c | 106.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 43c | 100.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…e12abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…35ebbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…2274backed Yes | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 64c | 86.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…b6ebbacked Yes | 39c | 85.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…f1e8backed No | 69c | 81.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…13d3backed Yes | 32c | 81.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…7dc6backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…483cbacked Yes | 71c | 71.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 66c | 71.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 66c | 63.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed No | 76c | 47.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 71c | 40.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 29c | 40.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…60acbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…a4e2backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 37c | 28.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.