Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94683f5a213691762e5e45d5c264f9ee164b9f87a3435b5fc23759bccc3fb6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 39c | 7,691$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.88 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 21c | 3,537$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.36 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 80c | 3,243$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.93 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 20c | 3,000$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.02 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 80c | 2,701$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 17c | 1,699$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.41 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 1,633$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,580$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.89 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,453$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.73 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 80c | 1,445$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 13c | 1,436$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 41c | 1,396$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.37 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 15c | 1,238$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 14c | 1,111$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 20c | 932.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.9 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 80c | 917.84$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.27 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 56c | 832$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 18c | 710.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked No | 77c | 694.28$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0e7cbacked Yes | 63c | 581.27$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…cdb6backed Yes | 17c | 572.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 18c | 565.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 49c | 528.67$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.04 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…ae62backed Yes | 18c | 446.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 18c | 437.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 80c | 436.04$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 19c | 433.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3912…c081backed Yes | 18c | 409.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…471ebacked Yes | 65c | 396.54$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 18c | 380$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.6 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 56c | 356.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 75c | 339.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…f34cbacked Yes | 80c | 316.55$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…65dfbacked Yes | 33c | 199.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 29c | 188$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…d1c2backed Yes | 74c | 175.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…cff3backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…81e0backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…e3efbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…d101backed No | 68c | 146.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 136.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…2b19backed Yes | 20c | 136$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dad…431cbacked Yes | 19c | 125.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 21c | 121.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a827backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…ab4abacked No | 80c | 107.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…35ddbacked Yes | 21c | 107.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +271.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 104.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd767…50bebacked Yes | 37c | 82.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…51dfbacked Yes | 39c | 77.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…c087backed Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 18c | 57.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 35c | 56.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 67c | 46.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…9803backed No | 44c | 42.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 49c | 38.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 41c | 29.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.