TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62a4…7770

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST5263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.3
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$18.5
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$13.75
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+31.6%+$6
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$14.75
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+35.1%+$6.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$19.75
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$15.5
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$15.5
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+47.1%+$8
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$14.24
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$17.25
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+58.7%+$9.25
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+38.9%+$7
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+92.3%+$12
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$18.85
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2024, EST3964.1%25 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+29.9%+$3.45
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Texans vs. Cowboysbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+31.6%+$6
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+92.3%+$12
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Falcons vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$15.5
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Rams vs. Patriotsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Vikings vs. Jaguarsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+33.3%+$3.75
Patriots vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10.8
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10.65
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Cowboys vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+66.7%+$8
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$15.2
Chargers vs. Brownsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+42.9%+$13.5
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+31.6%+$12
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$4.21
Packers vs. Jaguarsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Eagles vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.75
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2277.3%17 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Brighton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10.65
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Will Liverpool vs. Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+25%+$5
Will Brighton vs. Man City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Will Fulham vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST+31.6%+$6
Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$38
Will Spurs vs. Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Nottingham Forest vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Southampton vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+37%+$4.86
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Will Arsenal vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will West Ham vs. Man Utd end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$6.21
Will Leicester vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+62%+$13.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$79.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.