NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412d5d61c5e860a6b9e96b374c8d501426bceddfcabd5073330a3f8ab7b5c14b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc701…f932backed Thunder | 40c | 16,240$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468.71 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 62c | 16,081$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,987.69 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs | 69c | 12,549$8,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.52 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Spurs | 72c | 11,778$8,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Thunder | 17c | 10,751$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.19 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Thunder | 23c | 7,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…a715backed Thunder | 57c | 7,000$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Thunder | 16c | 6,246$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Thunder | 80c | 5,585$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.08 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Thunder | 3c | 5,244$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Spurs | 56c | 4,939$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.31 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Spurs | 20c | 4,618$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Thunder | 4c | 4,209$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spurs | 21c | 4,001$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.54 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Thunder | 12c | 3,819$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.38 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Thunder | 24c | 3,817$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.92 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 22c | 3,772$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.83 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Thunder | 79c | 3,750$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Thunder | 16c | 3,707$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.87 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Thunder | 48c | 3,700$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Spurs | 59c | 3,672$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.71 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Thunder | 57c | 3,500$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Spurs | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Spurs | 44c | 3,386$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.84 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Spurs | 21c | 3,250$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.45 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Spurs | 19c | 3,112$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.9 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Spurs | 33c | 2,994$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.92 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 79c | 2,750$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.79 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Spurs | 41c | 2,678$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.36 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 37c | 2,570$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Spurs | 60c | 2,348$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.83 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…a568backed Spurs | 21c | 2,340$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +387.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Spurs | 22c | 2,177$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Thunder | 79c | 2,177$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Thunder | 15c | 2,067$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.52 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Thunder | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Spurs | 22c | 1,733$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.88 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Spurs | 55c | 1,687$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.58 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…6950backed Spurs | 24c | 1,581$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Spurs | 20c | 1,497$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.16 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Spurs | 20c | 1,464$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.42 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Spurs | 49c | 1,449$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.66 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…b54fbacked Thunder | 78c | 1,390$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs | 23c | 1,299$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.68 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Spurs | 21c | 1,204$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.21 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Spurs | 21c | 1,199$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.23 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…0974backed Spurs | 23c | 1,196$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Thunder | 79c | 1,189$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Spurs | 22c | 1,186$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…1562backed Spurs | 20c | 1,175$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Spurs | 22c | 1,133$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed Spurs | 18c | 1,114$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Spurs | 23c | 1,065$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Thunder | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Thunder | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Thunder | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Spurs | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Thunder | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 16c | 999.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…74e7backed Spurs | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Spurs | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Spurs | 22c | 999.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Thunder | 53c | 989.81$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.31 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Spurs | 56c | 889.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Thunder | 79c | 783.95$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Spurs | 68c | 769.12$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.46 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Thunder | 80c | 736.17$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.94 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Spurs | 15c | 716.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 77c | 715.97$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.49 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 65c | 707.4$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.32 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Thunder | 79c | 693.47$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Thunder | 78c | 691.22$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Thunder | 74c | 675.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Spurs | 58c | 656.13$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.68 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…bbb8backed Thunder | 6c | 654.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Spurs | 19c | 599.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Spurs | 22c | 596.23$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.06 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs | 39c | 564.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.82 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Spurs | 30c | 563.43$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Thunder | 8c | 500.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Spurs | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Thunder | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Spurs | 21c | 499.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Thunder | 47c | 472.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Thunder | 74c | 465.91$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.36 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Thunder | 79c | 464.36$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…6f85backed Thunder | 6c | 459.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Spurs | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…84d9backed Spurs | 20c | 432.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…c556backed Thunder | 78c | 425.29$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Thunder | 51c | 416.83$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…790cbacked Spurs | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabe…76a2backed Spurs | 21c | 402.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed Spurs | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…a2d4backed Thunder | 63c | 380.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Spurs | 49c | 380$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 79c | 375.27$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.69 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.