TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6371…c2bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+91%+$181.02
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$733.12
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,323Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+84.8%+$7,909.74
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$971.38
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+30.6%+$1,279.22
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+27.8%+$911.87
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$67.46
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$252.5
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+282.8%+$282.84
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+40.8%+$85.77
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2024, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$7,915.22
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$290.91
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$818.4
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,476Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+38.7%+$1,344.44
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+25.1%+$251.37
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,488Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+38.8%+$3,290.57
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,886Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+46.3%+$2,261.38
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$3,619.42
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+30.4%+$1,216.54
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,007Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+26.1%+$2,092.69
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$848.98
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+73.7%+$1,841.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$442.36
Angels vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Royals vs. Astrosbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,343.8
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$80.8
Yankees vs. Marinersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+174.1%+$696.57
Twins vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.64
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$34.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.