TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls50c29,023$14,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,439.9147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Pistons2c11,509$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.793938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls61c10,723$6,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,223.8359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Pistons45c9,500$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,289.983727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Pistons60c8,365$5,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.748046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4901…f513backed Pistons65c8,316$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,398.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f09…02b6backed Pistons45c7,760$3,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.111450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Bulls39c5,733$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,511.265457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked Pistons1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Pistons35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7504348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons1c4,407$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.731,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6371…c2bfbacked Bulls58c4,341$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.021258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls52c4,315$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.0865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc3…be1abacked Pistons40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pistons44c3,591$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.7829043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Pistons63c3,330$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.623548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Pistons1c2,529$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.292231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Pistons48c2,089$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bulls58c2,050$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.4170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054c…9fc0backed Pistons50c1,981$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bulls36c1,600$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9137954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…fd28backed Pistons62c1,525$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Pistons62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.987354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Pistons64c1,350$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8647549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Bulls36c1,350$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.998442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd08…ef3bbacked Pistons42c1,300$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.951723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c9…d4cdbacked Pistons62c1,278$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Bulls65c1,233$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8311332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…6aebbacked Pistons58c1,162$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.851947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6846…b797backed Bulls36c1,110$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed Bulls36c1,052$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Pistons48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2210546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Bulls39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.649724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b5…88bfbacked Pistons2c1,023$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons41c1,017$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.951,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Pistons64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6406947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons34c866.34$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.041,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls48c849.44$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.5161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2967…4517backed Pistons62c829.99$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.61758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Bulls37c829.94$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.861353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Bulls44c674.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.985240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x517c…3689backed Pistons45c643.34$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Pistons63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Pistons64c623.42$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls39c600$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3691,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae36…c1a8backed Pistons7c600$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Bulls36c555.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.519130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Bulls39c530.56$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.646533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Pistons56c508.5$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.646753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Bulls36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b4…442dbacked Bulls65c494.24$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.273164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Bulls39c485.92$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4111428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Bulls39c481.45$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.36829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked Pistons32c469.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-51.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5cb2…7f19backed Pistons64c464.24$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons34c460.65$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.641,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Pistons39c460$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.73447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bulls56c452.26$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.261,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Pistons40c450$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.823956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83a…6933backed Bulls39c443.95$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+101.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Pistons38c443.4$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pistons39c442.22$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3523835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd58d…7631backed Bulls80c441.32$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Pistons15c422$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6092…67f8backed Pistons46c410.68$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Pistons23c394.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.057623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Pistons8c380.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4322430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba1…3d72backed Pistons60c380.18$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Bulls54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30f…a161backed Pistons64c368.7$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Pistons54c366.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Pistons65c358.62$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2336144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Pistons29c341.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x02c9…140cbacked Bulls77c340.42$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…3e8cbacked Pistons59c338.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6d…81c2backed Pistons38c316.78$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.863342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Pistons64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Bulls60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Pistons52c280.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5911834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7f…0174backed Pistons51c269.53$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1651…5b99backed Pistons64c266.83$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.773839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Pistons45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Bulls38c260.39$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.445028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4129635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Bulls40c248.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.94030%12 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x314c…67dabacked Pistons63c244.44$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8519…f76fbacked Bulls38c236.84$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Pistons64c236$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0416345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Bulls64c233.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8316553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Bulls35c231.58$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.531656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+69.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95af…0b1ebacked Bulls39c221.6$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Bulls39c220.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.512552%13 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+46.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3be0…9836backed Pistons64c218.59$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353b…0d45backed Bulls38c186.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.841353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc2…758bbacked Pistons46c180.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Bulls38c179.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.555754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c9…9955backed Pistons61c177.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6f…d9d4backed Pistons64c177.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.245056%28 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.