TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f6f…d9d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Boxing, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT5056%28 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.02
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.73
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.94
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.65
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$75.3
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.88
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+108.5%+$120.93
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$19
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.12
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$151.37
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$50.22
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$69.47
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$108.9
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$40.71
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$29.6
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$65.88
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37%+$113.03
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+38.9%+$117.73
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+29.9%+$22.4
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+29.9%+$74.58
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$48.91
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+35.1%+$89.83
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37%+$62.68
Dolphins vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+58.7%+$181.12
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$23.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+63.9%+$59.4
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+53.8%+$39.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Rakhmonov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+29.9%+$58.8
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+42.9%+$48.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.5
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$110.4
Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$23.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$66.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.