TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Browns vs. Steelers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Steelersof Browns, Steelers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Browns32c23,145$7,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,467.554736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4741…6cf0backed Steelers73c20,987$15,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.191968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Browns26c14,724$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.0732438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Browns37c10,436$3,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.620634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Browns1c10,195$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.118218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Browns34c7,266$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.4660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Browns8c7,075$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.1717823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Steelers73c6,351$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.927339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb21…8145backed Steelers79c6,013$4,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Browns27c4,999$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.8612570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Browns26c4,375$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.85848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Steelers74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0403568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns28c3,424$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.7436246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Browns26c3,334$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.925137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Browns31c3,195$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.7144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Browns28c2,972$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.4411738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x744b…6132backed Browns31c2,816$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.822245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Steelers73c2,807$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.817541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Steelers74c2,800$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72814445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9c…00f6backed Steelers74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.74245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Browns27c1,953$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.722638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5755…d1babacked Steelers74c1,917$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Steelers74c1,861$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Steelers72c1,643$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.975472.2%39 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Browns26c1,506$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.634420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Steelers73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4054669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4395…5b90backed Steelers74c1,411$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Steelers71c1,393$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8428556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Steelers55c1,265$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.234862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Steelers73c1,228$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.262190.5%19 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Browns27c1,227$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3634349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Browns26c1,223$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8331848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Browns29c1,110$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Browns26c1,096$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.914022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff3e…c6e3backed Steelers77c1,070$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.412638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Steelers72c1,020$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3313260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Steelers66c1,009$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.951070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Steelers58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42015944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Browns27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Steelers72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Steelers60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Browns27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Steelers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45010768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc109…1ad2backed Browns28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802931%9 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Steelers71c984.38$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3812760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Browns27c957.83$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6120646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec5…9869backed Browns27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked Steelers74c865$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.561963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Steelers72c808.15$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.282391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+44.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Steelers74c769$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9419864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Browns27c750$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.57835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Browns27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf4…8f44backed Browns27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Steelers63c706.44$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4410763.6%68 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Steelers74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.688762.1%54 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Browns12c656.61$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.28921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Steelers76c633.53$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.051233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…b08fbacked Browns27c601.51$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b23…8278backed Browns24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446758.2%39 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Browns40c508.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.63250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94c6…2ef0backed Browns19c501.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.561526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Browns29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14529356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Steelers74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Steelers74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13038459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Browns26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13016139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fe…e86cbacked Browns26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Browns29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Browns22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc668…117fbacked Browns3c463.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Steelers73c443.95$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0920736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec7…8a15backed Browns27c422.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Steelers73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25a9…f991backed Steelers73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Steelers74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Steelers72c399.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11213051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Steelers63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.833557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f9…25ccbacked Browns27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cd…c341backed Steelers74c370.27$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.271353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6f…d9d4backed Steelers74c345.49$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.831070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc0…e009backed Steelers72c342.74$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.971662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Steelers74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841675%12 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Steelers76c331.37$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.098650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…3d5fbacked Steelers61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Steelers78c321.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9429059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Browns20c299.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5928433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Steelers60c295$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.855056%28 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Steelers73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974772.3%34 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e9…3083backed Steelers73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Steelers74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.277177.5%55 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Steelers72c267.68$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.065444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…365fbacked Steelers72c264.75$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110a…7cdbbacked Browns28c264.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c8…24dcbacked Steelers73c254.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8520557.6%118 W · 87 L+16.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Browns28c242.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0710626.4%28 W · 78 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Browns44c227.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.126354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Steelers73c226.94$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7210738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3d…657dbacked Browns27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Steelers74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.74178%32 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Steelers71c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Steelers74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.