NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ceeab155ce6a2400b874388d155f6533df7906eaa64f7148d04123453656dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Browns, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $960,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,032,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $960,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Browns | 16c | 150,898$23,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,568.22 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Broncos | 73c | 42,705$31,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,420.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…275abacked Browns | 28c | 34,790$9,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,875.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Browns | 25c | 32,802$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.62 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Broncos | 68c | 32,555$21,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,580.31 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Broncos | 73c | 25,505$18,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,838.23 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Browns | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Browns | 27c | 20,942$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.83 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Broncos | 73c | 20,394$14,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Broncos | 72c | 19,587$14,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Browns | 27c | 19,281$5,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Browns | 19c | 14,512$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.55 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Broncos | 70c | 10,916$7,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.24 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Browns | 27c | 10,500$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.93 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Browns | 39c | 10,335$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.48 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Broncos | 68c | 9,763$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.68 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Browns | 30c | 8,608$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.59 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Browns | 16c | 8,398$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.15 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Broncos | 73c | 8,219$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Browns | 31c | 7,739$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.64 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Browns | 26c | 7,413$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.79 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Browns | 32c | 6,912$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.97 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Broncos | 71c | 6,679$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Broncos | 73c | 6,278$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.95 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Browns | 22c | 6,095$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.1 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Broncos | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Browns | 27c | 6,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.89 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Broncos | 74c | 5,569$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Browns | 34c | 5,500$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…90afbacked Broncos | 73c | 5,368$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Browns | 25c | 5,299$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.79 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Broncos | 66c | 5,029$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.83 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Broncos | 71c | 5,000$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.44 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Broncos | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…19bdbacked Browns | 28c | 4,910$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Browns | 27c | 4,855$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.3 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Browns | 27c | 4,503$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.88 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Browns | 31c | 4,110$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.54 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Browns | 28c | 3,969$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.38 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Browns | 29c | 3,925$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.57 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Broncos | 73c | 3,853$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.23 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Browns | 27c | 3,758$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.03 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Browns | 32c | 3,673$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Broncos | 72c | 3,571$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Browns | 36c | 3,318$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.2 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Browns | 2c | 3,238$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Broncos | 72c | 3,025$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.01 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Browns | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.7 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…aaffbacked Browns | 18c | 2,941$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Broncos | 72c | 2,716$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.56 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Browns | 34c | 2,532$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Broncos | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Broncos | 72c | 2,499$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.38 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Broncos | 70c | 2,430$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.59 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Broncos | 71c | 2,377$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Browns | 15c | 2,221$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.21 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…8f44backed Broncos | 73c | 2,141$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Browns | 27c | 2,029$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.86 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Broncos | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Browns | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Broncos | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…c45fbacked Broncos | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ec…f8b2backed Broncos | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Browns | 1c | 1,920$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Broncos | 79c | 1,899$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.2 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Browns | 15c | 1,881$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.18 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Browns | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Browns | 29c | 1,848$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.32 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Browns | 29c | 1,808$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.76 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Broncos | 72c | 1,795$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.53 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Browns | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…5e64backed Browns | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Browns | 23c | 1,755$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Browns | 46c | 1,735$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.26 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Browns | 25c | 1,717$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Broncos | 74c | 1,623$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…8042backed Browns | 29c | 1,613$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Browns | 41c | 1,603$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.19 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f0babacked Browns | 27c | 1,482$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Broncos | 72c | 1,387$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.38 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…4106backed Browns | 27c | 1,334$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Broncos | 73c | 1,267$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Broncos | 75c | 1,250$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Browns | 40c | 1,246$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…3416backed Broncos | 72c | 1,181$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Broncos | 73c | 1,123$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.29 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Browns | 40c | 1,112$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Broncos | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…77ebbacked Browns | 27c | 1,090$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…fe69backed Browns | 28c | 1,036$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f5…9c9cbacked Browns | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked Browns | 28c | 1,011$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Browns | 36c | 1,006$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.53 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Broncos | 73c | 1,003$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Browns | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Browns | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Browns | 28c | 999.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked Broncos | 73c | 991.25$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…a976backed Broncos | 72c | 972.34$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Browns | 36c | 967.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.