NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa201b01415901949c29cecc61ac217b9f4e0e8e750b9a7310bca0255376feba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Commanders, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,601,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,629,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,601,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 846 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Eagles | 72c | 209,463$150,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,517.21 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Commanders | 1c | 187,090$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.87 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Commanders | 21c | 161,430$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Eagles | 72c | 138,872$99,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,884.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Commanders | 11c | 108,386$11,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,962.81 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Commanders | 3c | 103,601$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Commanders | 10c | 87,190$8,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,610.04 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f4…5d51backed Eagles | 73c | 66,185$48,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,881.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Commanders | 7c | 65,487$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.64 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Eagles | 73c | 53,151$38,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,350.72 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9128…4a0ebacked Commanders | 29c | 52,367$15,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,186.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Commanders | 15c | 50,577$7,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,531.58 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Commanders | 15c | 48,784$7,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,129.91 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Commanders | 19c | 47,231$8,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,756.31 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Commanders | 26c | 43,924$11,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,314.69 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…53c8backed Eagles | 73c | 41,096$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,095.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Eagles | 73c | 41,095$29,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,095.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Eagles | 73c | 37,123$27,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,023.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Commanders | 28c | 34,930$9,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,780.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…275abacked Commanders | 29c | 34,778$10,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,085.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Eagles | 77c | 31,996$24,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.99 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Eagles | 66c | 30,000$19,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Eagles | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.99 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…827ebacked Commanders | 22c | 28,797$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Commanders | 30c | 26,590$8,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.07 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Commanders | 18c | 25,258$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Eagles | 72c | 25,000$17,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…7efbbacked Commanders | 7c | 25,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…3af8backed Eagles | 72c | 23,943$17,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Commanders | 28c | 23,000$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.98 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Eagles | 71c | 20,011$14,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.34 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Commanders | 1c | 19,758$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Eagles | 72c | 19,652$14,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.05 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Eagles | 72c | 19,634$14,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.61 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…a733backed Commanders | 30c | 18,432$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Commanders | 28c | 18,216$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Commanders | 15c | 17,328$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d05abacked Commanders | 29c | 17,241$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Eagles | 71c | 15,574$11,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.37 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Eagles | 78c | 15,204$11,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.39 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Commanders | 30c | 15,002$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Commanders | 15c | 13,703$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Commanders | 17c | 13,209$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.39 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Commanders | 7c | 12,777$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Commanders | 27c | 12,023$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.06 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…b96abacked Commanders | 28c | 10,714$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Eagles | 73c | 10,632$7,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.83 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…608fbacked Commanders | 29c | 10,345$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Eagles | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Commanders | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Commanders | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Eagles | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Eagles | 71c | 9,888$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Commanders | 6c | 9,525$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Commanders | 28c | 9,125$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…5c65backed Commanders | 32c | 8,908$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 26c | 8,644$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.91 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Commanders | 28c | 8,298$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.44 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Commanders | 28c | 8,200$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Commanders | 27c | 8,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Commanders | 19c | 7,818$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Eagles | 72c | 7,788$5,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Commanders | 8c | 7,476$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…5c31backed Commanders | 28c | 7,223$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Commanders | 27c | 7,137$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.54 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Commanders | 1c | 7,024$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Commanders | 29c | 7,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…1348backed Commanders | 29c | 6,998$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…f620backed Commanders | 4c | 6,949$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Commanders | 19c | 6,841$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Commanders | 24c | 6,361$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.61 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Commanders | 5c | 6,250$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.21 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Commanders | 29c | 6,231$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Commanders | 5c | 6,221$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.36 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Eagles | 71c | 6,209$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…b538backed Commanders | 17c | 6,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Commanders | 7c | 5,947$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.32 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…fd9fbacked Commanders | 6c | 5,830$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Eagles | 69c | 5,670$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.01 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Commanders | 16c | 5,660$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.45 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Eagles | 74c | 5,424$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.69 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Eagles | 73c | 5,314$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…c932backed Commanders | 29c | 5,271$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Commanders | 29c | 5,228$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Commanders | 29c | 5,185$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…8573backed Commanders | 29c | 5,143$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Commanders | 28c | 5,053$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Commanders | 12c | 5,048$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Commanders | 17c | 5,000$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Commanders | 29c | 4,796$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.11 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Commanders | 30c | 4,652$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Commanders | 31c | 4,633$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.89 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Commanders | 29c | 4,556$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.31 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Eagles | 72c | 4,525$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.77 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Eagles | 70c | 4,500$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Commanders | 16c | 4,397$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.61 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Commanders | 19c | 4,285$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Commanders | 0c | 4,098$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Commanders | 23c | 4,068$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.04 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…ee37backed Commanders | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.