TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

South Florida vs. San José State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Floridaof South Florida, San José State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$488,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 593 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed South Florida46c43,200$19,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,524.1686243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed South Florida60c29,899$17,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,905.8517048.2%82 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa162…658dbacked San José State14c15,879$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c53…ef99backed San José State58c13,700$7,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,94610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed San José State49c11,235$5,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,506.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked South Florida44c11,184$4,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,248.0723145.5%105 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed San José State54c9,148$4,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.8739954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked South Florida63c8,458$5,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,152.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d9…31b0backed San José State19c8,447$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f3…f169backed South Florida42c7,700$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4662100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+227.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a6b…1262backed San José State53c7,564$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed San José State36c7,362$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.7139847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed South Florida51c6,938$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.851485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed San José State52c6,643$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb24c…c868backed South Florida42c6,346$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked San José State44c6,293$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.062213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb610…fa36backed South Florida43c5,940$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked South Florida52c5,909$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.6130949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed South Florida39c5,653$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.3120341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked South Florida41c5,461$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.042250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed South Florida53c5,349$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.459843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5b…aba7backed South Florida58c5,299$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed South Florida52c5,120$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…5ca8backed San José State58c5,011$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed San José State24c4,989$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.277414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaff…7d46backed San José State58c4,978$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,873.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked San José State66c4,903$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,216.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed South Florida80c4,700$3,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed South Florida50c4,398$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed San José State45c4,313$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.114129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14e6…5b30backed South Florida44c4,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696b…94f5backed South Florida42c3,937$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed South Florida42c3,715$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.741656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed San José State58c3,616$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…cf42backed South Florida44c3,616$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed San José State48c3,561$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.223661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+324.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed San José State58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+110%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…3e05backed South Florida42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed South Florida79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked San José State76c2,619$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed San José State51c2,479$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.17166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick38cpaid-87.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4bed…43b2backed San José State58c2,435$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa61…fbe0backed San José State28c2,404$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed South Florida43c2,333$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.851650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked South Florida41c2,290$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+62.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed South Florida30c2,167$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.787335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x756b…500fbacked San José State58c2,136$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed San José State34c2,035$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed San José State54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked San José State54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.974839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed South Florida76c1,990$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.57560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked San José State61c1,889$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.252751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed South Florida48c1,876$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked South Florida44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.183145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed South Florida74c1,657$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.08988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+63.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d28…978abacked San José State59c1,636$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed San José State37c1,500$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed San José State4c1,448$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.462370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3f…f02abacked San José State54c1,426$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed San José State57c1,404$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6504…c74dbacked San José State4c1,403$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdca…4576backed San José State11c1,345$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed South Florida75c1,303$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed South Florida68c1,292$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc28c…b2bdbacked South Florida42c1,199$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…85d3backed San José State24c1,197$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c4…e867backed San José State55c1,074$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked San José State58c1,058$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.665543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked San José State38c1,056$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.94235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked San José State53c1,012$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked South Florida72c1,012$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked South Florida70c1,001$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.512958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed South Florida46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+216.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed South Florida43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a8…a9f1backed San José State57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2edf…2896backed South Florida42c999.98$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed South Florida44c984.24$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.264445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6586…c69cbacked South Florida42c978.93$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked San José State50c945.1$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.555339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed San José State58c921.5$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed San José State56c908.12$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.55560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6f…8be7backed South Florida69c900.38$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed South Florida33c890.32$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.945520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed San José State60c853.5$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.863941%16 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd41a…6801backed San José State9c846.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6f…928fbacked San José State59c840.75$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed South Florida45c837.64$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…1057backed San José State18c829.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked San José State50c800.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.314868.8%33 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8167…3051backed South Florida44c764.81$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebd…9bacbacked San José State28c728.08$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed San José State58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked South Florida39c653.43$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8312816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc583…aa14backed San José State19c638.35$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed San José State56c635.99$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d50…1160backed South Florida63c606.01$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked South Florida42c595.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6a…e177backed San José State19c559.81$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fa…b48abacked San José State12c558.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked South Florida45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.562133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.