NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e49018c6a012791f33315b135ed724e571355ca5fe3ac76cb9e03a389eccece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 798 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 54c | 32,471$17,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,517.02 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Mavericks | 30c | 14,075$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,828.69 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 30c | 12,000$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,355.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 64c | 10,148$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,532.83 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Mavericks | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 57c | 9,710$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 65c | 8,752$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.3 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks | 32c | 8,436$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.09 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 69c | 7,344$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.74 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Magic | 69c | 7,021$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.49 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 36c | 6,900$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 22c | 6,686$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.3 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 45c | 5,304$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.16 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 30c | 5,071$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.43 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Mavericks | 31c | 4,969$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.32 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Mavericks | 33c | 4,605$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.57 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Mavericks | 31c | 4,214$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.37 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 69c | 3,725$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.24 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Mavericks | 31c | 3,613$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.9 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 69c | 3,180$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.2 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 31c | 3,000$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Magic | 69c | 3,000$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 49c | 2,869$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.8 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Magic | 69c | 2,660$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mavericks | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Magic | 70c | 2,402$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 33c | 2,332$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,300$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.41 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 51c | 2,135$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.97 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 68c | 2,044$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.44 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Magic | 69c | 2,003$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Mavericks | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 49c | 1,989$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.91 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 70c | 1,842$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.27 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Magic | 70c | 1,811$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.51 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 68c | 1,773$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.8 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Magic | 8c | 1,724$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Magic | 73c | 1,700$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.99 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks | 36c | 1,674$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.44 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Magic | 70c | 1,516$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.49 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Magic | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Mavericks | 31c | 1,474$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.02 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Mavericks | 32c | 1,471$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,444$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.35 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Magic | 73c | 1,430$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.89 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 70c | 1,395$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.78 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Magic | 66c | 1,346$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.22 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7be…570cbacked Magic | 70c | 1,337$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Mavericks | 30c | 1,337$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.9 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Magic | 70c | 1,282$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 56c | 1,233$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.33 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Mavericks | 32c | 1,198$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 69c | 1,189$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.35 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Magic | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Magic | 74c | 1,075$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 69c | 1,066$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.54 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Mavericks | 29c | 1,061$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.54 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Magic | 68c | 1,025$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.06 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Mavericks | 31c | 1,025$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks | 30c | 1,023$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.96 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Magic | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Magic | 25c | 918.78$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.87 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 68c | 883$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.31 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…4a0bbacked Magic | 73c | 832.32$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 32c | 800$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.79 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…bacabacked Mavericks | 66c | 757.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mavericks | 31c | 662.4$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.06 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 56c | 660.97$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.56 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Mavericks | 26c | 623.02$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.02 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Magic | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Mavericks | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Mavericks | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2447…b512backed Magic | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magic | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Mavericks | 27c | 570$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.1 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 68c | 541.74$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.21 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Magic | 5c | 519.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Magic | 66c | 515.49$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 26c | 505.17$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Magic | 71c | 500$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Magic | 68c | 500$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 2c | 493.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Mavericks | 37c | 491.36$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Mavericks | 30c | 490.91$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 3c | 455$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Magic | 70c | 450$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Mavericks | 31c | 450$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Mavericks | 38c | 397.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.92 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 32c | 375$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Magic | 9c | 359.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Magic | 35c | 353.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 29c | 348.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.