TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5dc…0bc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT4963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$27.99
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$69.47
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$53.02
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$415.55
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.18
Will Inter win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Will Benfica advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+112.3%+$22.46
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42.53
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$72.12
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+37%+$10.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+30.7%+$37.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+150%+$300
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$245.07
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Ajax win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+101.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$83.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$346.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.