Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad6ab9bd264b12c76f2100b8273bb67c8b97b2114317a2dc4aa4cb69c43b1d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0254…34b3backed No | 69c | 10,103$6,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,971.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 33c | 8,565$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.47 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 56c | 3,215$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.18 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 45c | 3,022$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,720$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.71 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 31c | 2,624$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.43 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 47c | 2,610$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.12 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 71c | 2,200$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 31c | 2,155$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.18 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 47c | 1,640$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.73 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 40c | 1,331$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.94 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 57c | 1,315$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.55 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 45c | 1,301$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.31 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 29c | 1,225$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.45 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 835.73$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.37 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 810$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 30c | 669.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.86 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 42c | 658.31$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.39 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…4f10backed No | 7c | 616.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 68c | 555$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 35c | 512.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed No | 38c | 509.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed No | 43c | 497.42$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 50c | 404$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 66c | 380$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 32c | 375$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked No | 39c | 296.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…6467backed Yes | 33c | 292.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…02e3backed Yes | 29c | 246.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed No | 40c | 145.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 69c | 137.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…926ebacked Yes | 55c | 106.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 71c | 106.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…6385backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…58cabacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…88d9backed Yes | 64c | 92.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 78c | 75.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked No | 46c | 75.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…5160backed No | 73c | 71.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed No | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ef…9dd1backed No | 73c | 67.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…2a0bbacked No | 73c | 66.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 62.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 72c | 58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 32c | 57.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…3b05backed No | 73c | 40.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 60c | 34.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 70c | 33.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…810ebacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…4a33backed Yes | 70c | 19.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 65c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-02-01?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-01?No won
- Will Wolves vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.