TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb79…c2c6backed No58c7,866$4,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.6614659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No61c6,003$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.33551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No77c4,214$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.3114732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.9932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No56c2,726$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.675650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x285f…fb2bbacked Yes41c2,676$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes43c2,385$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0241323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes43c2,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes34c2,156$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.117241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No72c2,016$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.3438645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c1,662$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.0683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes45c1,637$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.614156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes42c1,481$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.984637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Yes47c1,473$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.32123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No54c1,054$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.0916660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4109148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No64c952.48$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes27c933.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes42c931.57$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.2615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No63c903.19$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No58c892$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes43c890.84$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.666628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes18c868.83$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3929044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c851.13$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No56c757.84$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes27c748.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No59c744.88$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.48750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes42c723.81$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30418433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No56c711.79$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.1979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes44c679.97$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0310445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes42c678.74$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.073652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes14c655.8$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3712623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes26c589.67$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.694136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes25c544.6$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.155740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Yes13c539$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.291566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+112.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes42c426.96$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.328149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No57c405.44$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No70c401.85$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1336954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes42c349.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes15c329.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes43c325.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No71c319.65$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1634251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes29c303.78$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.86747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9099…d877backed Yes42c287.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked Yes44c275.83$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes13c274$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6221353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed No67c273.04$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.979361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes44c269.7$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6729238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes39c248$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes43c246.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes43c246.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.856854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes34c220.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe815…93f4backed Yes41c212.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No57c208.33$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.287159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…bcefbacked No59c203.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2532822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f84…be09backed Yes42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No59c169.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7637652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa14e…e7abbacked No56c166.84$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes43c162.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Yes41c160.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.971250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes44c148.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10db…5365backed Yes41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x678b…ecf4backed Yes46c145.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb281…c9d1backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No58c133.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2624566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes27c132.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.899949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes24c132.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.613545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes42c129.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.23737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes18c127.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c2…cb9ebacked Yes44c121.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aa6…f1febacked Yes45c119.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf01d…2a09backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee56…bba5backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x380a…7505backed Yes45c119$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x936d…9544backed Yes44c118.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes39c118$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.544757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes20c117.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.49027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…ed01backed Yes46c116.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d45…117bbacked Yes45c115.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa46a…98bdbacked Yes44c114.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Yes45c113.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.93953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d88…e413backed Yes42c112.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.08977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Yes45c109.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.