TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee56…bba5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$36.81
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Manchester United beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+105.9%+$68.86
Will Chelsea beat West Ham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Newcastle beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
Will Aston Villa beat Everton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$34.67
Will Crystal Palace beat Leicester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.89
Will Manchester United beat Southampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$14.49
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+48%+$372.75
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49%+$213.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$229
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$66.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$133.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$262.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$163
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.48
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+354.3%+$140.29
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12
Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$876.45
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.81
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.09
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$83.84
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.68
Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+124.1%+$268.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+92.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,198.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+125.6%+$658.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+129.5%+$129.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$41.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.