TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Yes38c50,895$19,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,119.321225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No57c41,519$23,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,653.979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No46c34,742$16,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,622.5711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes53c27,720$14,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,614.3918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No47c25,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,249.9213829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb843…1b3fbacked Yes54c20,922$11,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,270.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No48c16,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,349.9730851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7701957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2774…07dfbacked Yes52c8,751$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.932352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed No47c6,384$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No52c5,559$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.9337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No47c5,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.9640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes41c3,860$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.7827752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Yes53c3,781$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No46c3,582$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.9413857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes60c3,322$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.385641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No50c3,067$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.4541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes55c2,706$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No47c2,676$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.0417745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes13c2,250$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.514945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes4c2,029$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.935257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0603060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes27c1,700$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No45c1,672$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.4122744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No46c1,371$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.3283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes56c1,313$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.035048%24 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Yes53c1,272$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-59.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes54c1,187$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.158045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes52c1,037$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes53c1,020$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.612037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes53c1,000$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes52c750$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No46c739.39$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37121353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes51c677.88$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.725740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes57c667.05$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.227835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No64c645.36$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5314953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No47c616$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.481,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes9c550$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.12755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f7…5e86backed Yes7c528.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes35c521.48$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.63737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257f…12fcbacked Yes21c439.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c418.51$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes51c410.68$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.456177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c0…823bbacked No48c407.04$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No45c401.82$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22116863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes53c371.32$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.83138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes55c363.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No10c312.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.287839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes53c309.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes8c299.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.237651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x484f…0075backed Yes53c298.11$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes52c290.96$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2121445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes54c276.2$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No48c269$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.888047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes54c258.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.597346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes54c253.74$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.026250%31 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Yes53c242$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Yes53c229.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes55c211.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.493534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes52c204.48$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3329238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes53c201.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1076139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd8…2cf0backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No47c193.13$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3611527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85ed…58a1backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003826.3%10 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No47c190$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.240135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed No31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.295349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334062.5%25 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes53c134.43$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe076…184cbacked Yes54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes53c127.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.525358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No47c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2531359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes58c124.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7216955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…e62cbacked Yes54c109.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes55c108.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3826247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.