Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x164db2bf0f331cedd9cb0cca8fafebeea11000f2a596be9979e36e068fae2473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 45c | 9,708$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330.26 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 5,050$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.98 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 27c | 4,405$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.63 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 16c | 4,274$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.27 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 4,094$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.57 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 17c | 3,932$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.3 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…829dbacked No | 79c | 2,835$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed No | 78c | 2,780$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 78c | 2,227$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.76 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 77c | 1,950$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.25 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 1,897$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.6 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 19c | 1,683$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.84 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 20c | 841.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.03 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 20c | 770.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.07 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 79c | 700$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 79c | 634.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked Yes | 79c | 549.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 16c | 429.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…5e86backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…d5a1backed No | 80c | 260.93$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 22c | 231.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 25c | 221.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 31c | 169.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 79c | 167.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 125.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…ad16backed No | 24c | 123.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 17c | 120.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 16c | 111.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Yes | 75c | 105.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…d824backed No | 24c | 100.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Yes | 20c | 92.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 25c | 81.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 30c | 80.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…a70dbacked No | 16c | 67.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe98…c7afbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Yes | 78c | 51.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…b61bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed No | 79c | 49.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 48c | 45.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…39d9backed No | 38c | 39.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…15e3backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.