Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814aaf37ebc2efcd3e447613a20824e3d3994f232fb1d8875fd38111fca44aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 22c | 23,054$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 79c | 20,829$16,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.56 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…a5b9backed Yes | 25c | 10,010$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…b306backed No | 75c | 10,002$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 4,766$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.71 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 27c | 4,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 80c | 3,632$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.4 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 25c | 1,864$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.67 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,240$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed No | 76c | 1,005$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…0338backed Yes | 26c | 895$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 676.57$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…1395backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…9132backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 32c | 429.24$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…cfb7backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 67c | 280.08$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 263.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 115.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 80c | 103.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 25c | 74.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 68.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…7a1dbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…72d4backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…6364backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…8b4dbacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bee5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…f1cebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…526abacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…8900backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…bfccbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…5bb1backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.