TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb00f…db97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2025, EDT4533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,600
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11,235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+160.1%+$17,983.13
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,400
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,364.2
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,500
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$28,190
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$128,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$128,906.87
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,271.61
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$58,842.58
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44,799.95
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$5,087.05
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+79%+$30,795.03
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$2,987.01
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,600
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+170.8%+$10,249.45
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+93%+$4,649.67
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,800
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,799.77
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$9,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,718.67
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+205.8%+$10,292.34
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+155.2%+$23,285.53
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,300
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2025, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,835
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$65,737.33
Predators vs. Utahbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38,952Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+130%+$50,637.21
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+109.2%+$7,099.84
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$39,318.1
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84,790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$61,947.63
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,000
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,000
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,000
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+158.7%+$7,933.3
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+103%+$3,603.84
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$6,363.64
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+59%+$5,898.12
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$27,000
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+101.6%+$32,519.9
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$31,240.69
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,300
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,600
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+281.9%+$8,176.26
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,500
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$4,337.3
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$58,193.39
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,119.32
Will Fulham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+95.7%+$4,785.11
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,500
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,000
Will Ipswich vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+160.7%+$5,783.41
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,500
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+141.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,516Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$14,072.92
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+109.8%+$21,958.04
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+300%+$32,105.3
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$9,731.75
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.