NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe122aeeca8feaafb04413be274ebb4053ef558ba16e047b7e307bc75add2df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Suns | 18c | 111,105$20,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,271.61 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549f…c945backed Thunder | 56c | 39,380$22,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,224.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Thunder | 77c | 24,816$19,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,728.73 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 43c | 24,217$10,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,495.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed Suns | 45c | 20,239$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Suns | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Thunder | 68c | 8,117$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.08 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Suns | 23c | 7,990$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.69 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 58c | 7,970$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.04 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 79c | 7,581$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.33 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 58c | 5,918$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.89 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 69c | 5,167$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.46 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns | 38c | 5,161$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.01 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Suns | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Thunder | 50c | 4,937$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.44 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Suns | 31c | 4,343$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.34 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 71c | 4,285$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.79 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Suns | 35c | 4,195$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.89 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Suns | 45c | 4,186$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Suns | 30c | 4,001$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.86 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Suns | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns | 21c | 3,868$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.6 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Thunder | 73c | 3,566$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.26 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Thunder | 70c | 3,255$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.5 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Suns | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 32c | 2,792$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 73c | 2,757$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.15 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thunder | 58c | 2,578$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.35 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Thunder | 79c | 2,500$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 66c | 2,422$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.27 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Suns | 16c | 2,382$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.86 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Suns | 15c | 2,357$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Suns | 22c | 2,132$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Thunder | 68c | 2,017$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Suns | 30c | 1,966$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…c4d4backed Suns | 21c | 1,901$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Suns | 23c | 1,840$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.08 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Suns | 2c | 1,717$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Suns | 28c | 1,466$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.53 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Thunder | 72c | 1,396$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.83 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Thunder | 80c | 1,353$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Suns | 24c | 1,350$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns | 29c | 1,041$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Suns | 33c | 1,020$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Thunder | 78c | 839.41$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Suns | 5c | 827.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Thunder | 71c | 817.48$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.89 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Suns | 5c | 749.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns | 44c | 720.51$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.26 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Thunder | 72c | 716.66$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Suns | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Suns | 40c | 667.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Thunder | 69c | 664.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns | 24c | 647.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Thunder | 56c | 610$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.6 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Thunder | 69c | 607.42$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Thunder | 56c | 580.11$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…6b92backed Suns | 35c | 569.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Suns | 27c | 547.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Thunder | 62c | 519.05$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Thunder | 65c | 516.1$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Thunder | 49c | 500.56$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 17c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 3c | 484$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Suns | 17c | 474.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 24c | 460.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Suns | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Suns | 30c | 450.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Suns | 20c | 448.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 44c | 448.12$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Thunder | 73c | 442.84$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Thunder | 78c | 430$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…cdefbacked Thunder | 78c | 410.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Suns | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Suns | 54c | 367.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.82 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Suns | 20c | 349.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Thunder | 76c | 348.45$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Suns | 4c | 345.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Suns | 48c | 335.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Thunder | 50c | 322.76$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.06 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Thunder | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Thunder | 57c | 310.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Thunder | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Thunder | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Thunder | 67c | 289.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Thunder | 72c | 277.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Thunder | 70c | 271.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 77c | 261.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Suns | 60c | 258.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Thunder | 65c | 257.52$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…bc71backed Thunder | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Thunder | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Thunder | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Thunder | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 64c | 234.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.