TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Wild, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2f1…e5f5backed Islanders54c23,012$12,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,585.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Wild47c15,357$7,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,214.388749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ac…7d91backed Wild47c11,829$5,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,506.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0942…1cdfbacked Wild46c11,090$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00db…80dabacked Wild32c9,452$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders52c9,276$4,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,452.4592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders61c8,468$5,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,298.521,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Wild48c7,947$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.365757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Wild48c7,255$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5002737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders52c6,386$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.3349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Islanders53c4,691$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.2130549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Wild48c4,137$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e4…744ebacked Wild46c3,279$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ec…34b6backed Wild46c3,180$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Islanders52c3,068$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.1513845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wild47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Wild51c2,942$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders52c2,796$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.881,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1122…7784backed Islanders54c2,652$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42cd…f24dbacked Islanders54c2,559$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Wild50c2,401$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Wild47c2,136$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Islanders51c2,110$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.811354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Islanders53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9404242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e24…15e6backed Wild47c1,998$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.061457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Islanders67c1,972$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.7513348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8931,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Islanders55c1,793$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.921866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild52c1,793$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.5927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Islanders55c1,722$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.499863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild50c1,554$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.7385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders61c1,483$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.613,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders52c1,251$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…cf45backed Islanders54c1,249$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders50c1,125$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.071,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders51c1,119$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.551,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders53c1,001$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Islanders53c1,000$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.3285148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Islanders53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4707361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02e8…7054backed Wild49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wild45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3bfcbacked Islanders51c990$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Wild7c940.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8110127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders52c911.98$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.2379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Islanders53c790.97$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7513756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Islanders49c678.5$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8925340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders52c575.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874b…9eeebacked Wild46c545$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ae…d072backed Islanders54c545$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x262c…9439backed Islanders54c517$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.825100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c0e…c08fbacked Wild46c517$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2d…56f6backed Islanders54c514$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb210…92b5backed Wild46c514$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4585…8a64backed Islanders54c495$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a68…df2fbacked Wild46c495$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e64…2ae1backed Islanders54c494$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe933…8bc0backed Wild46c494$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Wild49c428.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21015246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Islanders54c399.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18610546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Islanders53c380.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Wild47c340.54$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Islanders53c311.09$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2124949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Islanders52c305.28$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7229748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed Islanders53c302.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.321540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Islanders53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Islanders53c259.25$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8519848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Wild31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Wild7c232$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2417448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ad…48d1backed Wild46c216.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Islanders53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.74650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Wild48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…9243backed Wild48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Islanders53c205.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.721060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Islanders53c189.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2921255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabc0…3dacbacked Islanders53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Islanders53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de6…ab57backed Islanders53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Islanders54c187.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d86…57e3backed Islanders55c182.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0d…bdc2backed Islanders55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4281…1b56backed Islanders55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1f…9f1abacked Wild50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1364…d17fbacked Islanders50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+48.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f14…bca0backed Islanders50c178$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.36per pick44cpaid-84.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x34a1…6c73backed Wild50c178$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd724…eda0backed Wild48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8822…73e9backed Islanders52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c14…b8e9backed Islanders53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+105.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8862…548abacked Islanders46c165$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e4f…894abacked Wild54c165$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Wild48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Islanders53c152$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.442536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Islanders52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…d3f1backed Wild43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be8…1dd6backed Islanders57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Islanders53c128.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6210448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Wild49c125$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.